Bayesian Methods for the Estimation of Infection and Recovery Rates of an Epidemic from Stochastic SIR Data
This project was co-authored by Heather Johnston and Youngwoo Kwon $$ \gdef{\boldphi}{\boldsymbol{\phi}} $$ Introduction COVID-19, or Coronavirus Disease 2019, was declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020. The disease originated in December 2019 in China and quickly spread around the world. Compared with the previous epidemics like Ebola and SARS, COVID-19 has a relatively low mortality rate, but spreads faster with numerous mildly symptomatic cases. In response to the spread of COVID-19, governments and institutions have implemented a variety of policies such as social distancing, masks requirements, stay-at-home orders, and travel restrictions to limit or prevent person-to-person interactions. ...